Doomsday Clock Closer Than Ever to Midnight: Active Nonviolence Can Still Save Us

By David Hart, Co-Director Nonviolence International

The world is facing a series of devastating interrelated crises. Our friends at the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists have just updated their well known and respected Doomsday Clock. No surprise to those following the news, but their Science and Security Board has declared that we are closer than ever before to apocalypse. They are announcing this news not to freeze us in fear, but instead to offer us a chance to act while we still can. And, act we must.

The time for small ideas is over. History has proven that powerful people’s movements can make what once seemed impossible become inevitable. Again and again we have seen that when people rise up together and declare they see a path out of the darkness, the world can change in major ways.

The crises we are facing provide us with an opportunity to create real and lasting change. Below, you will see that the Bulletin rightly considers the threats of climate change and nuclear weapons to be existential threats to our very existence. True, and only part of the picture. We also face a crisis of avoidable suffering worldwide. We can and must do better. For the future and for those suffering now.

Many people may see this clock ticking closer and closer to midnight and wonder what we can do. We often seem so small and the problems seem so vast. At Nonviolence International, we proudly declare that the world can be better than it is today and it up to us to direct that change.

Nonviolence International serves as a backbone organization of the global nonviolent movement. We provide fiscal sponsorship to some of the most amazing bold, creative, hardworking nonviolent movements worldwide. And, we provide much needed resources to activists and scholars all over the world.

Our Nonviolence Training Archive is live online now built in partnership with Kurt Schock and the Rutgers International Institute for Peace. This is the world’s largest archive of training material on nonviolence. Check it out at: http://nonviolence.rutgers.edu/s/digital

Within a few months, our longtime Executive Director, Michael Beer, will be publishing his first book - an update to Gene Sharp’s seminal work The Politics of Nonviolent Action, with our friends at the International Center for Nonviolent Conflict. This monograph, which was blessed by Sharp, includes 346+ powerful tactics of nonviolent action. We are developing an online database that will allow activists and scholars worldwide to learn from this resource. It will be a living document that grows as friends and allies provide feedback and new ideas. You can get a preview of the online database at: https://www.nonviolenceinternational.net/tactics

When we say… we are Building a Global Culture of Nonviolence and Building Hope in Troubled Times… we mean it.

2020 is going to be a pivotal year for our planet and we know active nonviolence can prove once again that it is indeed a force more powerful.

Please read the post below, share it, and commit to take action now and throughout the coming year to help create a better future for all.

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https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/

It is 100 seconds to midnight

Editor’s note: Founded in 1945 by University of Chicago scientists who had helped develop the first atomic weapons in the Manhattan Project, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists created the Doomsday Clock two years later, using the imagery of apocalypse (midnight) and the contemporary idiom of nuclear explosion (countdown to zero) to convey threats to humanity and the planet. The decision to move (or to leave in place) the minute hand of the Doomsday Clock is made every year by the Bulletin’s Science and Security Board in consultation with its Board of Sponsors, which includes 13 Nobel laureates. The Clock has become a universally recognized indicator of the world’s vulnerability to catastrophe from nuclear weapons, climate change, and disruptive technologies in other domains.

To: Leaders and citizens of the world

Re: Closer than ever: It is 100 seconds to midnight

Date: January 23, 2020

Humanity continues to face two simultaneous existential dangers—nuclear war and climate change—that are compounded by a threat multiplier, cyber-enabled information warfare, that undercuts society’s ability to respond. The international security situation is dire, not just because these threats exist, but because world leaders have allowed the international political infrastructure for managing them to erode.

In the nuclear realm, national leaders have ended or undermined several major arms control treaties and negotiations during the last year, creating an environment conducive to a renewed nuclear arms race, to the proliferation of nuclear weapons, and to lowered barriers to nuclear war. Political conflicts regarding nuclear programs in Iran and North Korea remain unresolved and are, if anything, worsening. US-Russia cooperation on arms control and disarmament is all but nonexistent.

Public awareness of the climate crisis grew over the course of 2019, largely because of mass protests by young people around the world. Just the same, governmental action on climate change still falls far short of meeting the challenge at hand. At UN climate meetings last year, national delegates made fine speeches but put forward few concrete plans to further limit the carbon dioxide emissions that are disrupting Earth’s climate. This limited political response came during a year when the effects of manmade climate change were manifested by one of the warmest years on record, extensive wildfires, and quicker-than-expected melting of glacial ice.

Continued corruption of the information ecosphere on which democracy and public decision making depend has heightened the nuclear and climate threats. In the last year, many governments used cyber-enabled disinformation campaigns to sow distrust in institutions and among nations, undermining domestic and international efforts to foster peace and protect the planet.

This situation—two major threats to human civilization, amplified by sophisticated, technology-propelled propaganda—would be serious enough if leaders around the world were focused on managing the danger and reducing the risk of catastrophe. Instead, over the last two years, we have seen influential leaders denigrate and discard the most effective methods for addressing complex threats—international agreements with strong verification regimes—in favor of their own narrow interests and domestic political gain. By undermining cooperative, science- and law-based approaches to managing the most urgent threats to humanity, these leaders have helped to create a situation that will, if unaddressed, lead to catastrophe, sooner rather than later.

Faced with this daunting threat landscape and a new willingness of political leaders to reject the negotiations and institutions that can protect civilization over the long term, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Science and Security Board today moves the Doomsday Clock 20 seconds closer to midnight—closer to apocalypse than ever. In so doing, board members are explicitly warning leaders and citizens around the world that the international security situation is now more dangerous than it has ever been, even at the height of the Cold War.

Civilization-ending nuclear war—whether started by design, blunder, or simple miscommunication—is a genuine possibility. Climate change that could devastate the planet is undeniably happening. And for a variety of reasons that include a corrupted and manipulated media environment, democratic governments and other institutions that should be working to address these threats have failed to rise to the challenge.

The Bulletin believes that human beings can manage the dangers posed by the technology that humans create. Indeed, in the 1990s leaders in the United States and the Soviet Union took bold actions that made nuclear war markedly less likely—and as a result the Bulletin moved the minute hand of the Doomsday Clock the farthest it has been from midnight.

But given the inaction—and in too many cases counterproductive actions—of international leaders, the members of the Science and Security Board are compelled to declare a state of emergency that requires the immediate, focused, and unrelenting attention of the entire world. It is 100 seconds to midnight. The Clock continues to tick. Immediate action is required.

Much more at: https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/

Latest posts

The Power of the Powerless

The Power of the Powerless:
Nonviolent Resistance Begins with Ordinary Acts

In the midst of cascading global crises - war, repression, climate breakdown, and democratic backsliding, the world briefly paused this week to listen to Canada’s prime minister’s speech at the World Economic Forum, in Davos. Mark Carney opened his speech with an unexpected story: The Power of the Powerless.

The reference comes from a 1978 essay by Czech dissident and playwright Václav Havel, who would later become president of Czechoslovakia. It remains one of the most important texts on authoritarianism and nonviolent resistance. What makes his analysis enduring is not simply its critique of repression, but its clarity in explaining a question many people still struggle to articulate: why do authoritarian systems persist even when few genuinely believe in them? Havel’s answer is both unsettling and empowering: because society participates in the lie, not necessarily out of conviction, but out of habit, fear, and self-preservation.

Authoritarianism is sustained not only by force, but by conformity. Authoritarian regimes are often imagined as systems held together exclusively by violence, and Havel does not deny the role of coercion, but he argues that the more efficient form of control is subtler: fear that becomes routine. Such systems function because millions of ordinary people quietly adjust their behavior to what is expected of them and, over time, this compliance becomes normalized. People learn how to perform loyalty without believing it. In this sense, authoritarian power depends less on ideological devotion and more on daily participation in a collective performance. This is what Havel calls “living within the lie.”

One of the essay’s most famous examples is that of a greengrocer who places a political slogan in his shop window, written “Workers of the world, unite!” The key point is not the slogan itself, but why it is displayed. The greengrocer does not post it because he believes in it. He does so to signal that he understands the rules of the game. The sign becomes a silent message: I am obedient. I will not cause trouble.

Here, Havel exposes a fundamental weakness of authoritarian systems: they rely on these visible rituals of submission. Such gestures reassure the regime and society that everyone is still playing their assigned role. So Havel asks a deceptively simple question: What happens if the greengrocer removes the sign? He does not topple the regime. But some things do change:

the ritual is broken
the illusion of consensus cracks
the system’s dependence on performance becomes visible

And once that happens, others begin to see that the system is not inevitable.

“Living in truth” as Nonviolent Action

For Havel, the real power of the “powerless” lies in choosing to “live in truth.” This is not a moral slogan, but a practical decision to stop reproducing messages one does not believe, to refuse participation in the lie that sustains the system. These acts may appear small. That is precisely why they are powerful. Nonviolent resistance does not always begin with mass protests or dramatic confrontation. Often, it begins with:

a worker who refuses to repeat propaganda
a teacher who teaches honestly
an artist who creates despite censorship
a journalist who documents reality
a neighbor who protects another
a community that organizes itself

To live in truth is a form of nonviolent direct action - one that interrupts automatic obedience. When ordinary people withdraw their participation from the daily theater of obedience, slogans lose their power, fear loses its monopoly, silence no longer signals consent, and truth begins to circulate again. From a nonviolent perspective, political change often emerges not as a clash of force, but as a crisis of obedience.

Why The Power of the Powerless Matters Today

Havel also points toward a strategy deeply aligned with contemporary nonviolent movements: the creation of parallel structures: spaces of social, cultural, and civic life that exist beyond the regime’s control. Rather than waiting for a single moment of rupture, these initiatives build long-term resilience:

independent cultural spaces
community networks
alternative education
solidarity economies
independent media
civil society organizations

Often, repression does not arrive only as open violence, it appears as normalization: cynicism, self-censorship, isolation, and the belief that “nothing can be done.” Havel’s essay offers a crucial reminder:

Power does not reside only at the top.
Power is embedded in daily life.
And so is the possibility of change.

When people choose to live in truth, they create the conditions authoritarian systems fear most: a society that begins to recognize its own agency. Havel shows that obedience has mechanisms. So does resistance.

Nonviolence, in practice, is the collective refusal to sustain a lie as a form of governance.
It is the patient reconstruction of public life through truth, solidarity, and dignity.

History does not change only when people seize institutions. Often, it changes when people decide, together, to stop performing for power.

Do You Have the Guts to Follow Dr. King?

Dear friend,

This year we invite you to re-read Dr. King’s Nobel Peace Prize acceptance speech, (or you can watch it on here).

“I conclude that this award which I receive on behalf of that movement is a profound recognition that nonviolence is the answer to the crucial political and moral question of our time – the need for man to overcome oppression and violence without resorting to violence and oppression…. we will know that we are living in the creative turmoil of a genuine civilization struggling to be born…I refuse to accept the cynical notion that nation after nation must spiral down a militaristic stairway into the hell of thermonuclear destruction. I believe that unarmed truth and unconditional love will have the final word in reality.”

Despite making much progress in alleviating racism, sexism and reducing global poverty, we see violence and injustice growing in wars and occupations that destroy civilian life, in places like Palestine, Sudan, Western Sahara, Burma, Ukraine, Uganda, and the Congo. The world has surpassed 100 million refugees, as militarism and war have accelerated.

We see governments across the world suppress dissent and weaken human rights in the name of “security.” Racialized police violence continues. Mass incarceration that destroys communities. Economic inequality is growing while basic needs go unmet. Voting rights are under attack. Protest is criminalized. Migrants are treated as threats rather than human beings.

In the United States, the home of Dr. King, the US government is abetting genocide, attacking constitutional and international laws and institutions, and throwing the world over the cliff into climate chaos, all for the sake of transferring vast wealth and power to the few.

Nonviolence International exists because we refuse to accept this as normal.

Nonviolence is harder than violence. We are not going to kill or threaten our way to a just and sustainable future. We must use persuasion, nonviolent coercion, the rule of law, global cooperation and governance in order to survive and thrive. And we must bring on board the huge segments of humanity who succumb to greed and cruelty and elect abusive leaders out of fear or coercion.

Nonviolence is a way of resisting violence without becoming it.
It is organized, courageous, and disciplined. It is about telling the truth, confronting power, and standing with those who are most impacted.

Dr. King understood that nonviolence demands commitment. It demands action. And it demands a willingness to be uncomfortable for the sake of justice.

Following Dr. King’s example, we ask you to write or video record your own speech on nonviolence! You can write for the world, but we ask that you do it to your kids, your community, and/or your country and in your native language.

We will help you publish it on our website or tag / collaborate us on Instagram and Facebook!

The arc of the moral universe does not bend by itself. It bends when people choose to act.

Thank you for walking this path with us, today and every day.

In solidarity,
Michael Beer & Sami Awad, Co-Directors

P.S. Register for our upcoming webinar: Beyond Political Illusions: What This Moment Demands of Us, on Jan 21, at 10AM ET / 5PM Jerusalem time. We will have a powerful panel, including Jonathan Kuttab, Huwaida Arraf, and Jeff Halper.

Webinar Jan 21 - Beyond Political Illusions: What This Moment Demands of Us

Nonviolence Must Prevail in Iran

As we write this, the people of Iran are demonstrating in the streets of their cities and towns for the last 3 weeks.. They are calling for change and demanding to be heard, despite the violence they are facing from their own government — the death toll may be over 2000 people. The world needs to understand what is happening and why we must respond with urgency and wisdom.

What Is Happening in Iran?

In late December 2025, shopkeepers in Tehran closed their stores. These were not political radicals,these were ordinary business owners who could no longer survive. The cost of food had risen dramatically, after Iran's currency, the rial, lost nearly half its value in 2025. What began as protests about the economy quickly became something much larger. People across Iran, students, pensioners, young people, merchants, took to the streets. They are now calling not just for economic relief, but for fundamental change in how their country is governed. The protests have spread to at least 185 cities. Demonstrations have erupted on university campuses. The chants in the streets express deep frustration: "Death to the Dictator" and "Neither Gaza nor Lebanon, My Life for Iran."

This is not the first time Iranians have risen up. Many remember the Woman, Life, Freedom protests in 2022 after Mahsa Amini, a 22-year-old woman, died in custody after being arrested for not wearing her hijab "correctly." Those demonstrations were met with brutal force—tear gas, mass arrests, and live ammunition. Hundreds died and thousands were imprisoned, but Iranians now state that the morality police are less visible in many urban areas, and many women are openly foregoing the veil without immediate crackdowns.

But the roots go deeper. For decades, Iranians have lived under a system where one man, the Shah Pahlavi, and then the Religious Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, holds ultimate power over all major decisions. Elections happen, but real power remains concentrated in an unelected official. Young Iranians, who make up a large portion of the population,see no future for themselves. They watch their government spend money supporting armed groups in other countries while they struggle at home. They see corruption, mismanagement, and their voices ignored.

The government blames Iran's economic problems on international sanctions—restrictions placed on Iran by other countries, particularly the United States. While sanctions have certainly contributed to economic hardship, Iran's leaders have begun to admit that their own governance failures share responsibility. President Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in 2024 on promises of economic reform, acknowledged this reality even as the protests spread.

The Violence We Condemn

We are deeply concerned about active violence from all sides. Some protesters have thrown stones and burned government buildings. Government armed actors have been killed. We understand the rage that drives such actions, but we believe that sustainable democratic change comes through disciplined, nonviolent resistance.

Our greatest concern, however, is the violence perpetrated by the Iranian government. The state possesses a complete monopoly on weapons—guns, tear gas, riot control equipment, and the entire security apparatus. Reports indicate that hundreds of protesters have been killed, many shot at close range with live ammunition. Thousands have been arrested. Iran's attorney general has warned that protesters could face charges carrying the death penalty.

The government has shut down internet access in many areas, cutting Iranians off from the outside world and making it difficult to document what is happening. In 2025, Iran executed at least 1,500 people—the highest number in nearly 40 years—as part of what appears to be a deliberate strategy to instill fear. As adherents to Islam, a religion espousing peace, this violence against your own people is haram and unacceptable.

We call on the US and Israel to stop their attacks and continued threats of bombing and regime change. Some desperate Iranians have unwisely called for foreign armed intervention hoping for some miracle. This is more likely to increase government repression.

International sanctions, particularly those imposed by the United States, have for the most part devastated Iran's economy. These sanctions fall most heavily on ordinary Iranians—the same people now protesting in the streets. Sanctions make food more expensive. They restrict access to medicine. They destroy jobs and opportunities. In effect, the international community is punishing the Iranian people for the actions of a government they did not choose and cannot change through normal democratic means.

What the World Must Do

The United States and the international community must lift economic sanctions on Iran. Sanctions strengthen authoritarian governments by giving them an external enemy to blame, by forcing citizens to depend on the state for survival, and by creating a siege mentality that makes reform more difficult. Lifting sanctions would empower the Iranian people. It would improve their economic conditions and give them breathing room to organize and demand change. It would remove the government's favorite excuse for economic failure. And it would demonstrate that the international community stands with the Iranian people, not against them. A best outcome would be for the US and other nations to pay reparations for unwarranted suffering. The US and the UN should call for and enforce a Nuclear Weapons Free Middle East (West Asia).

A Nonviolent Path Forward

We call on the Iranian government to recognize the legitimate grievances of its people, and to engage in dialogue and compromise rather than violence. When a government responds to peaceful protest with bullets, it reveals its own weakness and desperation.

The best outcome we can envision is a referendum on Iran's constitution and genuinely free elections where Iranians can choose their own path forward. The current constitution concentrates power in the hands of unelected religious authorities. The previous constitution did so with an unelected monarch.

Iranians deserve the opportunity to decide what kind of country they want to live in.

What matters is that the Iranian people are the ones who determine their future. Not foreign governments, not military intervention, not external pressure. The people themselves, through their courage and their commitment to justice. We have witnessed people power transform nations—from the Philippines to Poland to Chile to South Africa. We have seen ordinary citizens, armed only with their conviction and their willingness to stand together, overcome seemingly invincible authoritarian systems. The path is never easy. The cost is often high. But change is possible.

Our Message to the People of Iran

You are not alone. The world sees you and our courage inspires us. Your determination to build a better future for yourselves and your children gives us hope.

As part of developing any nonviolent strategy in any situation, certain issues are important to take into account. We urge you to remain disciplined in your protests. We understand that the government uses violence out of desperation, but we encourage Iranians to continue to use measures that sometimes lowers the violence and in some cases improves effectiveness:

Protest primarily during the day time.
Invite all people, including women, elderly and children to participate.
Support the creation of a national network of Mothers and Families of the Martyrs.
Video record everything.
Denounce attacks on mosques or Islam, even though many see that the religion has been corrupted and misused by state power.
Look to the medical community for emerging and credible alternative leadership.
Build mutual aid networks
Use of non-cooperation techniques such as boycotts and merchant strikes.
Use of tactics dispersed over a large area.
Build unity with the diaspora in spite of its extreme elements.

Nonviolent resistance is not passive, it is strategic. It builds broader support, both within Iran and internationally. It withdraws support for the pillars of power, particularly if society uses tax resistance and general strikes.We know that many of you are feeling desperate and wanting revenge for the suffering. But feelings and violent revolution without modern weapons will likely not achieve your goals. You are welcome to get more ideas on possible tactics from our catalogue of 346 tactics in our huge global database and also explained in our Farsi language downloadable book, Civil Resistance Tactics of the 21st Century.

To the international community: Do not abandon the Iranian people in their hour of need. Sanctions are not solidarity. Lift the economic restrictions that make their lives harder. Support their right to determine their own future. And make clear that the world is watching how their government responds.

The road ahead for Iran is uncertain. But in the streets of Tehran, Isfahan, Tabriz, and hundreds of other cities, the Iranian people are writing a new chapter in their long history. They are reclaiming their voice and demanding their dignity. They are showing the world that the human spirit cannot be crushed, no matter how heavily the boot presses down.

History will remember this moment. Let us ensure that history records not just the suffering, but the courage. Not just the violence, but the resistance. Not just the crisis, but the possibility of transformation. The people of Iran are crying out for justice. The question is whether the world will listen—and whether we will respond with wisdom, compassion, and solidarity.